Iran’s regional agenda and the call for détente with the Gulf states
March 17, 2022
As both a candidate and as president, Ebrahim Raisi has repeated a basic mantra: that he will seek to quickly improve relations with Iran’s neighbors, and particularly the Arab Gulf states. In terms of his motivations for this push, two points are undeniably important.
Will Iran’s heavy-handed approach to deterring Israel backfire?
March 15, 2022
On March 13, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) fired missiles at targets in the Iraqi Kurdish city of Erbil. The IRGC claimed the barrage of missiles was aimed at the operational bases of the Israeli intelligence service, Mossad.
Biden, Raisi and Iran’s Nuclear File
October 18, 2021
The government of President Ebrahim Raisi has been in place since early August and yet Tehran is still unsure about when and how it should resume the nuclear talks with world powers in Vienna. Those talks were suspended in June, just before the Iranian presidential elections.
Azerbaijan and Israel’s encirclement of Iran
October 5, 2021
Tensions between Iran and Azerbaijan are high right now but both sides will very likely soon step down. Neither Tehran nor Baku can afford to let recent events lead to a full-fledged crisis or a military showdown between the two Shi’a Muslim-majority countries.
Beholden to Khamenei and the IRGC, Raisi will stick to the hardline script
September 16, 2021
In the June 2021 elections, the Iranian presidency was handed to Ebrahim Raisi on a silver platter.
Raisi and the Revolutionary Guards
September 2, 2021
Under President Ebrahim Raisi, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is poised to exert greater control over Iran’s national security agenda and economy. Several of his ministers and advisors were members of the IRGC or have connections to it.
Khamenei shuts down opposition ahead of upcoming ballot
June 14, 2021
Iran’s presidential elections on 18 June are not set to shift the status quo in the country. The man most responsible for this predicament is the unelected 82-year Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei who has been in power since 1989
The US-Iran-Qatar triangle
February 17, 2021
The tiny Persian Gulf country of Qatar has chosen a herculean task for itself: to mediate between the United States and Iran. As Qatar’s Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani put it on Feb. 10, Doha “is working on de-escalation through a political and diplomatic process.”