Khamenei’s Sham Elections
February 26, 2024
The March 1st elections in Iran present a mere illusion of democracy tightly orchestrated by Khamenei, sidelining crucial figures amidst a legitimacy crisis and growing public disenchantment.
The Houthis, Iran, and tensions in the Red Sea
January 11, 2024
The Iranian regime’s links to the Houthis predate the Yemeni civil war that erupted in 2014, but there is no doubt that relations have deepened in a strategic sense over the course of the last decade.
Iran’s calculations in the Israel-Hamas war
October 19, 2023
As the war rages on between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, the role of Iran will remain a central factor. Tehran is not only Israel’s top regional foe but also the leading provider of military aid and training for Hamas.
Gulf States should push Iran to get serious about lowering tensions
October 13, 2023
Two days after the Hamas attack on Israel last weekend, a top Iranian official said that “Arab states willing to normalize relations with Israel [should] give up the process and learn a lesson from the latest developments in Palestine.”
A last chance for reforms squandered: Iranian regime doubles down after 2022 protests
September 14, 2023
History might very well show that the people’s protests that broke out in September 2022 in Iran were the final opportunity for the Islamist regime to change political course. But as the past year has made clear, the regime in Tehran utterly failed to seize the moment.
Iran and the GCC connectivity agenda: Implication for Washington’s Iran policy
June 21, 2023
Iran is possibly the only country that the United Arab Emirates can call an “enemy.” Yet there is another more significant and multilayered side to the UAE-Iran relationship, one that concepts such as political pragmatism or hedging alone cannot explain.
Iran’s security chief Shamkhani did his job but had to go
June 5, 2023
Late last month, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei opted to replace the secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC), Ali Shamkhani.
Russia and Iran Have High Hopes for Each Other
May 2, 2023
One of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s special envoys keeps visiting Iran. Igor Levitin, Putin’s advisor, has visited Tehran twice in 2023, totaling five visits in the last six months.
Can the West stop Russian-Iranian convergence?
April 3, 2023
More than a year on from the beginning of the Ukraine war in February 2022, there is no more business as usual for Russia-Iran relations. While bilateral ties are still characterized by an intense focus on security and defense, the two sides are opening multiple new areas of cooperation as well.
Special Briefing: The legacy, lessons, and future course of Iraq 20 years since the U.S. invasion
March 20, 2023
The 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq presented policymakers in Tehran with the need to make a crucial decision.